Чи проведе Україна вибори президента у 2026 році?

Editorial illustration

Open

Чи проведе Україна вибори президента у 2026 році?

Forecasts close: Dec 31, 2026, 12:50 PM

Quick answer

The community median estimates the probability of “YES” at 5% — nearly impossible.The market price estimates the probability of “YES” at 5% — nearly impossible.

Make a forecast

Before forecasting, check the wording, close time, and outcome source. How to read an event

Chat

All markets

Ukraine

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

YES 33%

Ukraine

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

YES 17%

Ukraine

СЗЧ: чи відновить Рада пільгове повернення до 1 грудня?

YES 17%

Chat

The community median estimates the probability of “YES” at 5% — nearly impossible.

All markets

Ukraine

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

YES 33%

Ukraine

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

YES 17%

Ukraine

СЗЧ: чи відновить Рада пільгове повернення до 1 грудня?

YES 17%

Community median

5%

Forecasters

147

Consensus evolution

336 updates

Community median Spread of opinions

The band is the middle half of all forecasts. The wider it is, the less forecasters agree.

Jul 11, 2026, 12:57 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–50%
Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM: Community median 99%, middle half 99–99%
Jul 12, 2026, 9:18 PM: Community median 84%, middle half 76–91%
Jul 14, 2026, 9:42 AM: Community median 68%, middle half 42–84%
Jul 16, 2026, 1:30 AM: Community median 59%, middle half 42–76%
Jul 17, 2026, 2:34 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–68%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:09 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–64%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:56 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–59%
Aug 2, 2026, 1:59 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–59%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–69%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 40%, middle half 14–50%
Aug 6, 2026, 3:58 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 19–68%
Aug 7, 2026, 7:34 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 25–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 24–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 45–67%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 45–89%
Aug 8, 2026, 4:10 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–86%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–77%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–77%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:22 AM: Community median 50%, middle half 20–68%
Aug 10, 2026, 4:31 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 9–59%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:00 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 10–50%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:23 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 10–65%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:17 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 10–54%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 15–53%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 6–53%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:09 PM: Community median 40%, middle half 6–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:43 PM: Community median 40%, middle half 8–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 6:33 PM: Community median 35%, middle half 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:00 PM: Community median 35%, middle half 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:02 PM: Community median 45%, middle half 9–54%
Aug 13, 2026, 7:18 PM: Community median 37%, middle half 9–50%
Aug 14, 2026, 12:23 PM: Community median 34%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 15, 2026, 6:16 PM: Community median 32%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:51 AM: Community median 31%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:52 AM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 12:08 PM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 18, 2026, 3:32 PM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 19, 2026, 5:09 AM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 26, 2026, 6:52 AM: Community median 30%, middle half 3–50%
Aug 26, 2026, 9:40 AM: Community median 23%, middle half 4–50%
Aug 26, 2026, 7:24 PM: Community median 15%, middle half 1–50%
Aug 30, 2026, 7:08 PM: Community median 15%, middle half 1–50%
Aug 31, 2026, 3:27 PM: Community median 15%, middle half 1–50%
Sep 2, 2026, 5:18 AM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–50%
Sep 8, 2026, 6:30 PM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–50%
Sep 10, 2026, 6:02 PM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–48%
Sep 28, 2026, 4:16 PM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–45%
Sep 29, 2026, 4:12 AM: Community median 8%, middle half 1–43%
Oct 3, 2026, 11:20 AM: Community median 5%, middle half 1–40%

Each update stays in your history and applies from the moment you submit it.

How forecasts work

Community median

5%

Forecasters

147

Consensus evolution

336 updates

Community median Spread of opinions

The band is the middle half of all forecasts. The wider it is, the less forecasters agree.

Jul 11, 2026, 12:57 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–50%
Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM: Community median 99%, middle half 99–99%
Jul 12, 2026, 9:18 PM: Community median 84%, middle half 76–91%
Jul 14, 2026, 9:42 AM: Community median 68%, middle half 42–84%
Jul 16, 2026, 1:30 AM: Community median 59%, middle half 42–76%
Jul 17, 2026, 2:34 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–68%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:09 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–64%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:56 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–59%
Aug 2, 2026, 1:59 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–59%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–69%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 40%, middle half 14–50%
Aug 6, 2026, 3:58 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 19–68%
Aug 7, 2026, 7:34 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 25–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 24–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 45–67%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 45–89%
Aug 8, 2026, 4:10 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–86%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 50–77%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 35–77%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:22 AM: Community median 50%, middle half 20–68%
Aug 10, 2026, 4:31 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 9–59%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:00 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 10–50%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:23 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 10–65%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:17 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 10–54%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 15–53%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, middle half 6–53%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:09 PM: Community median 40%, middle half 6–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:43 PM: Community median 40%, middle half 8–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 6:33 PM: Community median 35%, middle half 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:00 PM: Community median 35%, middle half 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:02 PM: Community median 45%, middle half 9–54%
Aug 13, 2026, 7:18 PM: Community median 37%, middle half 9–50%
Aug 14, 2026, 12:23 PM: Community median 34%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 15, 2026, 6:16 PM: Community median 32%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:51 AM: Community median 31%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:52 AM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 12:08 PM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 18, 2026, 3:32 PM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 19, 2026, 5:09 AM: Community median 30%, middle half 5–50%
Aug 26, 2026, 6:52 AM: Community median 30%, middle half 3–50%
Aug 26, 2026, 9:40 AM: Community median 23%, middle half 4–50%
Aug 26, 2026, 7:24 PM: Community median 15%, middle half 1–50%
Aug 30, 2026, 7:08 PM: Community median 15%, middle half 1–50%
Aug 31, 2026, 3:27 PM: Community median 15%, middle half 1–50%
Sep 2, 2026, 5:18 AM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–50%
Sep 8, 2026, 6:30 PM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–50%
Sep 10, 2026, 6:02 PM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–48%
Sep 28, 2026, 4:16 PM: Community median 10%, middle half 1–45%
Sep 29, 2026, 4:12 AM: Community median 8%, middle half 1–43%
Oct 3, 2026, 11:20 AM: Community median 5%, middle half 1–40%

Each update stays in your history and applies from the moment you submit it.

How forecasts work

Чи проведе Україна вибори президента у 2026 році?

Quick answer

Chat

Popular markets

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

СЗЧ: чи відновить Рада пільгове повернення до 1 грудня?

Chat

Popular markets

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

СЗЧ: чи відновить Рада пільгове повернення до 1 грудня?

Consensus evolution

Consensus evolution