Чи проведе Україна вибори президента у 2026 році?

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Чи проведе Україна вибори президента у 2026 році?

Close time: Dec 31, 2026, 12:50 PM

Quick answer

The community median estimates the probability of “YES” at 30% — unlikely.The market price estimates the probability of “YES” at 30% — unlikely.

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All markets

Ukraine

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

YES 40%

Ukraine

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

YES 62.5%

Ukraine

Чи залишить Рустем Умєров посаду секретаря РНБО до 1 вересня 2026 року?

YES 99%

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The community median estimates the probability of “YES” at 30% — unlikely.

Community median

30%

Forecasters

119

Consensus evolution

288 updates

Community median IQR · 25–75%

Jul 11, 2026, 12:57 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–50%
Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM: Community median 99%, IQR · 25–75% 99–99%
Jul 12, 2026, 9:18 PM: Community median 84%, IQR · 25–75% 76–91%
Jul 14, 2026, 9:42 AM: Community median 68%, IQR · 25–75% 42–84%
Jul 16, 2026, 1:30 AM: Community median 59%, IQR · 25–75% 42–76%
Jul 17, 2026, 2:34 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–68%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:09 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–64%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:56 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–59%
Aug 2, 2026, 1:59 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–59%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–69%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 40%, IQR · 25–75% 14–50%
Aug 6, 2026, 3:58 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 19–68%
Aug 7, 2026, 7:34 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 25–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 24–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 45–67%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 45–89%
Aug 8, 2026, 4:10 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–86%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–77%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–77%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:22 AM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 20–68%
Aug 10, 2026, 4:31 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 9–59%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:00 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 10–50%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:23 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 10–65%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:17 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 10–54%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 15–53%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 6–53%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:09 PM: Community median 40%, IQR · 25–75% 6–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:43 PM: Community median 40%, IQR · 25–75% 8–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 6:33 PM: Community median 35%, IQR · 25–75% 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:00 PM: Community median 35%, IQR · 25–75% 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:02 PM: Community median 45%, IQR · 25–75% 9–54%
Aug 13, 2026, 7:18 PM: Community median 37%, IQR · 25–75% 9–50%
Aug 14, 2026, 12:23 PM: Community median 34%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 15, 2026, 6:16 PM: Community median 32%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:51 AM: Community median 31%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:52 AM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 12:08 PM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 18, 2026, 3:32 PM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 19, 2026, 5:09 AM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%

Each update stays in your history and applies from the moment you submit it.

How forecasts work

Community median

30%

Forecasters

119

Consensus evolution

288 updates

Community median IQR · 25–75%

Jul 11, 2026, 12:57 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–50%
Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM: Community median 99%, IQR · 25–75% 99–99%
Jul 12, 2026, 9:18 PM: Community median 84%, IQR · 25–75% 76–91%
Jul 14, 2026, 9:42 AM: Community median 68%, IQR · 25–75% 42–84%
Jul 16, 2026, 1:30 AM: Community median 59%, IQR · 25–75% 42–76%
Jul 17, 2026, 2:34 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–68%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:09 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–64%
Jul 30, 2026, 11:56 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–59%
Aug 2, 2026, 1:59 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–59%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–69%
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 AM: Community median 40%, IQR · 25–75% 14–50%
Aug 6, 2026, 3:58 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 19–68%
Aug 7, 2026, 7:34 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 25–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 24–59%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 45–67%
Aug 8, 2026, 12:52 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 45–89%
Aug 8, 2026, 4:10 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–86%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 50–77%
Aug 8, 2026, 9:22 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 35–77%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:22 AM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 20–68%
Aug 10, 2026, 4:31 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 9–59%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:00 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 10–50%
Aug 10, 2026, 9:23 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 10–65%
Aug 10, 2026, 10:17 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 10–54%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 15–53%
Aug 11, 2026, 1:12 PM: Community median 50%, IQR · 25–75% 6–53%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:09 PM: Community median 40%, IQR · 25–75% 6–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 12:43 PM: Community median 40%, IQR · 25–75% 8–50%
Aug 12, 2026, 6:33 PM: Community median 35%, IQR · 25–75% 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:00 PM: Community median 35%, IQR · 25–75% 9–50%
Aug 13, 2026, 12:02 PM: Community median 45%, IQR · 25–75% 9–54%
Aug 13, 2026, 7:18 PM: Community median 37%, IQR · 25–75% 9–50%
Aug 14, 2026, 12:23 PM: Community median 34%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 15, 2026, 6:16 PM: Community median 32%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:51 AM: Community median 31%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 11:52 AM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 17, 2026, 12:08 PM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 18, 2026, 3:32 PM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%
Aug 19, 2026, 5:09 AM: Community median 30%, IQR · 25–75% 5–50%

Each update stays in your history and applies from the moment you submit it.

How forecasts work

All markets

Ukraine

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

YES 40%

Ukraine

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

YES 62.5%

Ukraine

Чи залишить Рустем Умєров посаду секретаря РНБО до 1 вересня 2026 року?

YES 99%

Чи проведе Україна вибори президента у 2026 році?

Quick answer

Chat

Popular markets

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

Чи залишить Рустем Умєров посаду секретаря РНБО до 1 вересня 2026 року?

Chat

Consensus evolution

Consensus evolution

Popular markets

Чи запровадить Україна обов'язковий ПДВ для ФОПів до 1 січня 2027 року?

Чи піде у відставку чинний голова НБУ до 31 грудня 2026 року?

Чи залишить Рустем Умєров посаду секретаря РНБО до 1 вересня 2026 року?